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Canada’s Bold Pipeline Plan: Carney & Smith Lay New Foundation

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On November 27, 2025, Carney and Smith stood together to sign a landmark agreement. The deal sets a framework to build a new oil pipeline from Alberta to a port in British Columbia a move designed to reshape Canada’s energy landscape and expand export routes beyond the U.S. 

Federal and provincial leaders described the agreement as a step toward “strengthening energy collaboration” and making Canada’s energy sector more competitive on the global stage. 

What the Agreement Actually Does

  • The so-called “memorandum of understanding” clears the way for a new oil pipeline potentially transporting up to 1 million barrels per day from Alberta toward the Pacific coast.
  • The plan hinges on private sector investors: if no company steps up, there will be no pipeline. “It’s not about federal government cash,” officials made clear.
  • As part of the deal, Canada and Alberta committed to certain environmental promises: backing a major carbon capture project in oil-sands areas, aiming for net-zero emissions by 2050, and supporting expanded electricity generation (potentially for new infrastructure such as AI-powered cloud data centers).

 Immediate Fallout: Politics, Climate & Controversy

The deal triggered quick reactions. On one side, the oil industry and many in Alberta cheered, seeing a path toward broader export markets and renewed investment. 

On the other side, critics including environmental groups, coastal and Indigenous communities, and leaders in British Columbia voiced strong opposition. They warn that a new pipeline and potential tanker traffic off the BC coast could threaten fragile ecosystems and clash with long-standing environmental restrictions. 

Meanwhile, the internal dynamics of the federal government were shaken: a former climate minister a prominent voice on environmental protection resigned in protest, arguing that key climate policies have been discarded to make this deal possible. 

What’s Next: A Long Road Ahead

Under the agreement’s terms, Alberta must submit a formal pipeline proposal by July 1, 2026, to the federal “Major Projects” office. That proposal will determine whether the pipeline actually moves forward. 

If private investors commit and environmental, regulatory, and Indigenous-consultation hurdles are cleared construction could begin around 2029. 

Until then, Canada faces tough questions: Can it meet climate-change obligations while expanding fossil-fuel exports? Will the pipeline earn investor trust? And how will affected communities respond?

 Why This Matters

This deal signals a major shift in Canada’s energy and economic strategy. By prioritizing fossil-fuel exports and infrastructure expansion, the government is betting on energy as a pillar of economic growth. At the same time, the deal exposes deep political and environmental divisions and raises uncertain questions about Canada’s climate future.

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